/extrospect/Predictions
That's the sound of my election prediction career being rather shortlived.
Conversation Julia Ewaschuk at 2004-11-02 21:07:
(21:07:51) Julia Ewaschuk: so, do you still think kerry's going to win?
(21:08:00) Rob Ewaschuk: yup.
(21:08:07) Julia Ewaschuk: sweet.
(21:08:10) Rob Ewaschuk: confident as an ewaschuk who's wrong.
(21:08:11) Rob Ewaschuk: :-)
(21:08:28) Julia Ewaschuk: excellent.
Yeah.
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/extrospect/US Election Predictions
Just for fun, so on Wednesday people can point and laugh at my confident wrongness: I predict that Kerry will win.
Moreover, I predict that he will win with sufficient decisiveness that the ensuing legal battles will be only interesting to people like me who read too much about the American elections.
That's all.
/extrospect/Kerry's Ten Commandments
In last night's debate, Kerry said:
I was taught -- I went to a church school and I was taught that the two greatest commandments are: Love the Lord, your God, with all your mind, your body and your soul, and love your neighbor as yourself. And frankly, I think we have a lot more loving of our neighbor to do in this country and on this planet.
Unfortunately for him, loving your neighbour as yourself is not one of the ten commandments.
(Hey look, original punditry! I noticed this all by myself!)
Correction: Err..see the comments. Apparently this wasn't a ten-commandments reference, but a two-commandments reference. Boy is my face red.
/extrospect/Dubya and Roe v. Wade
Ten days ago, I hit rock bottom. I wrote, in a blog entry, that "I also bought socks."
It doesn't get much worse than that.
After a decanight of soul-searching, I've decided to join the fray of political observers. I'm paying quite close attention to the American election, as well as observing the genesis of stories from the blog-sphere into mainstream media.
Here's the latest tidbit. In the second presidential debate, Dubya was answering a question about what kind of supreme court judge he would appoint. He talked about the Dred Scott case, a very old, overturned, pro-slavery judgement. I thought it was just a "talking point" about him not being racist or something, but Americans seemed to find the reference extremely strange.
It turns out that, allegedly, Dred Scott is an oblique reference to the famous Roe v. Wade, where the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in favour of a woman's right to have an abortion (I don't know the details well.) Supposedly Bush raised it not to say that he wouldn't appoint a judge that would have backed the Dred decision, which is obvious, but rather that he wouldn't appoint a judge that would back Roe v. Wade.
Interesting subtleties. Not sure if I buy it, but it's a pretty good explanation. You can dig for yourself. If you google for "Dred Scott Roe v. Wade" you'll find some recent article discussing Bush's Dred reference, as well as many older links where the religious right equates Roe v. Wade with Scott Dred.
